| polymarket | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner — Team Yandex | 100.0% | 99.9% / 100.0% | 664.1K | 664.1K | Sep 21, 2026 |
| polymarket | Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 1 Winner — Pibbles Corp | 0.1% | — | 652.3K | 652.3K | Sep 21, 2026 |
| polymarket | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 0.1% | 0.1% / 0.2% | 459.8K | 20.5M | May 30, 2027 |
| polymarket | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 48.5% | 48.0% / 49.0% | 358.1K | 2.2M | Oct 28, 2026 |
| polymarket | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 3.9% | 3.8% / 4.0% | 294.9K | 39.1M | Jan 1, 2027 |
| polymarket | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage — Team Yandex | 83.5% | 83.0% / 84.0% | 282.7K | 282.7K | Sep 21, 2026 |
| polymarket | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 18.5% | 18.0% / 19.0% | 270.6K | 2M | Jan 1, 2027 |
| polymarket | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 0.5% | 0.5% / 0.6% | 259.1K | 1.8M | Oct 28, 2026 |
| polymarket | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 8.5% | 8.0% / 9.0% | 245.8K | 3.7M | Nov 3, 2026 |
| polymarket | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | 97.7% | 97.5% / 97.9% | 238.8K | 889.2K | Oct 1, 2027 |
| polymarket | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 0.4% | 0.3% / 0.4% | 228.8K | 1.3M | Oct 28, 2026 |
| polymarket | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 6.0% | 5.9% / 6.1% | 227.1K | 22.8M | Jan 1, 2027 |
| polymarket | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage — Leo Team | 6.6% | 4.4% / 8.7% | 214.4K | 214.4K | Sep 21, 2026 |
| polymarket | Giants vs. Rams — Giants | 26.5% | 26.0% / 27.0% | 204.6K | 263.2K | Sep 22, 2026 |
| polymarket | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | 99.3% | 99.1% / 99.5% | 204K | 442.2K | Sep 23, 2026 |
| manifold | Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin? | 96.1% | — | 49.4K | 10.5M | Jul 19, 2028 |
| manifold | Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? | 5.0% | — | 25.7K | 7.4M | Jan 2, 2030 |
| manifold | Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections? | 41.6% | — | 20.8K | 197.9K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| manifold | Will Timo Kielich win 3 or more races in the 2026 UCI Professional Cycling Season? | 1.0% | — | 10K | 12.9K | Oct 31, 2026 |
| manifold | All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY? | 3.6% | — | 9.3K | 1.2M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| manifold | Will Matt Gaetz become the next Governor of Florida in 2026? | 1.0% | — | 8.7K | 16.8K | Nov 26, 2026 |
| manifold | CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026? | 71.9% | — | 8.4K | 148.7K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| manifold | Bitcoin $55K before $85K? | 1.0% | — | 7.1K | 30.9K | Dec 31, 2027 |
| manifold | Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026? | 55.1% | — | 7K | 301.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| manifold | AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029? | 89.0% | — | 5.5K | 14.8K | Dec 31, 2028 |
| manifold | Will Democrat Angie Nixon win Miami Dade County in the Florida Senate Election? | 30.0% | — | 4.8K | 5.8K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| manifold | At least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026? | 5.4% | — | 4.8K | 4.1K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| manifold | Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026? | 1.0% | — | 4.3K | 17K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| manifold | Opus 5.2 released in September? | 8.6% | — | 3.6K | 79K | Sep 30, 2026 |
| manifold | Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office every single day from Sept 14–30? | 2.3% | — | 3.6K | 20.1K | Sep 30, 2026 |